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  • The global economic reopening remains on track as Covid-19 vaccination rates climb. While rising inflation has become a concern, the spike in prices looks transitory so far. Ultimately, we still like the pandemic recovery trade that favours equities over bonds, the value factor over the growth factor and non-US stocks over US stocks. 

  • Vaccines and US stimulus have the global economy on track for a strong rebound in the second half of the year. We expect the reopening trade to favour equities over bonds, the value factor over the growth factor and non-US stocks over US stocks.

  • The UK Chancellor, Rishi Sunak, announced his 2021 UK Budget with two significant goals: To provide support for households and businesses through the final stage of the coronavirus pandemic and to provide a roadmap for how the government plans to reduce the fiscal deficit over time and pay for pandemic support measures.

  • We believe that vaccine prospects are likely to make 2021 a year of global economic recovery. While markets have priced in a fair amount of the good news, more gains seem possible as corporate profits rebound and central banks remain on hold.

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